Soccer 2009-2010 - Selected picks.

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Will place my wagers from time to time all in same thread.some will be
with short write ups ,picks will be based on what in my eyes seem as
valuable lines,Bookies i use are mostly UK base such as Bet365 & Betfair.

Starting today .

Copa Sud Americana - Semi final stage - 1st leg ;

Cerro Porteno v Fluminense RJ


The Paraguayan team ranked 8th in its local table and have eliminated already 2 Brasilian teams on its way to the semi final,Goias and Botafago,on other hand Fluminese seems to finally securing their spot in 1st league with 9 non losing streak games and will like to finish the season wth some title,the Brasilian takking that match seriously,trying to get the most out of it and will be playing with full squad tonight.

Fluminense should enter the field with Rafael, Gum, Digão and Dalton, Mariano, Diogo, Diguinho, Conca and Marquinho, Maicon and Fred.

My pick; Fluminense RJ + 0.5 @ 1.61 Bet365. 2 units

GL.
 

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Flu wins 1-0 from a goal scored by Fred during 2nf half.

off to a good start

1-0 , +1.22
 

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Dutch Jupiler League 2nd Div - Friday Nov 13th.

Maastricht v Volendam ;

That league in general known for high average of goals scored per match
In that particular encounter there are two teams scoring in average
little over 3 goals per match combined,however past h2h history shows
something interesting about the results achieved between these two

08.02.2008 Volendam MVV 1-0
28.09.2007 MVV Volendam 2-0
15.12.2006 MVV Volendam 1-0
20.10.2006 Volendam MVV 1-1
28.11.2005 Volendam MVV 0-0
22.08.2005 MVV Volendam 0-2
04.02.2005 Volendam MVV 0-0
20.08.2004 MVV Volendam 1-1
25.04.2003 Volendam MVV 0-0
15.11.2002 MVV Volendam 0-1

Last time 3 goals scored in a match of these two took place at March 2002,
4 goals scored once in 2001 and
in 12 out of 14 recent encounters between these 2 the total was under 2.5.


I am aware past history has nothing to do with today match.
Based on lines posted for totals it seems bookies predict 3 goals here
as well as average scoring of these two teams so far this season.

I cant ignore the trend and will try play the u3.5 here believing the value is on the u2.5 here as well,
but since interested ensuring a win will take extra precaution.

Since the bet placed solely on past h2h and statistical data alone will have relatively smaller . stake

My pick ; Under 3.5 goals @ 1.52 Bet365 1 unit.

GL.

YTD ; 1-0,+1.22 .



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Argentinian Apertura - Friday 13th

Chacarita v Newells

Newwells in a must win situation to keep the race for the title.On other hand home team need points to mainatain and remain in that league and has been playing better the last several games.Newells has best away record this season with4 wins out of 7 away matches.

My pick Newells ML @ 2.58 Betfair 1 unit.


MVV has won 5-2 and that wager has went down tube during 1st half time already!
along with 2 red cards to Volendam later on and additional goals during 2nd half
.guess they waited 7 years for me to show up to score for all that period..LMAO

YTD 1-1,+ 0.22
 

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Saturday Nov 14th - WC Qulifiers

Greece vs Ukraine .

Greece seems poor to me and the inferior side in that encounter.I have watched Greece playing vs Israel and Switzerland during group stage,needless to say if not for such a nice draw back then neither Greece nor the Swiss would have managed to qualify from any other European group to the final stage.

The two faced each other 4 years ago in the WCQ stage where Ukraine managed to get a win away 1-0 and draw home 1-1.

2 Bets for me here,one referring to the match itself and the other is a prop for the qualifier.

1st bet ; Ukraine +0.5 @ 1.71 Betfair 1 unit
2nd bet ; Ukraine to qualify @ 1.78 Betfair 2 units.

More to come later.

GL.




 

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Saturday WC Qualifiers + Friendly intenational.

Morocco Cameroon .

Have to back up Cameroon here in a must win to qualify.
home team missing several starters as well

Cameroon @ 1.85 0.75 unit BetWin.

Brazil England

Natural venue for this match ar Qatar.England missing most of its 1st line up.
Seems to me its all up to how serious Brazil going to be as to outcome of this match,
since friendly match keep stake small

Brazil @ 2.14 0.75 unit Betfair

GL.
 

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Italy v Netherlands.

Italy at home might like to pay back for the defeat 0-3 to the Dutch last time these two faced each other last year in the euro 2008.Italy coming with strong squad however in my opinion they don't have much to offer,on other hand the Dutch defense seems kinda shaky and in recent friendly matches they were not serious enough,i do hope that today it will be different scenario since the challenge facing Italy should bring the best out of the Dutch .i see on other board many go on the home team pk dnb,i will go other way here and play,again since friendly match not risking much here.

Holland + 0.5 @ 1.64 0.5 unit betfair .
 

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Spain Argentina .

Interesting match here,i believe both teams could score here
and i will try small shot playing the total here.last match betwen the two
was a friendly in spain 3 years ago and final score was 2-1 to Spain.

0.5 unit Over 2.5 @ 1.92 Betfair

 

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Saturday Nov 14th - Brazil Campeonato

Sao Paulo Vitoraia .

Sao Paulo in race for the title this season,ranked currently 2nd with same number of points as Palmeiras in 1st spot and short a game,will host Vitoria which secured its spot this season in 1st league and doesn't have much to play for till season is over losing its last 4 games.Sau Paulo has won the last 8 encounters vs Vitoria home and away and last time lost to Vitoria has been at 2001.Not sure about line ups therefore keep that bet small as well.

Sao Paulo @ 1.50 0.5 unit Betfair.

That will do for me for today.

BOL.
 

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Sat Nov 14th summary.

Sao Paulo Vitoraia . 2-0 Winner
Sao Paulo @ 1.50 0.5 unit Betfair.

Beautiful day hitting 6 out of 6. :drink:

Today total ; 6-0,+3.66

Ytd ; 9-1 ,+5.46
 

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U21 Euro Championship

1st play fo today ;

France U21 vs Slovenia U21;

France in 2nd place trailing by 3 pts the Ukraine and 1 match short will host Slovenia which seems to be one of the weakest teams in that group,in 1st leg of that encounter at Slovenia France won 3-1,i can't see anything other than another French victory here today when they in need for points and chasing Ukraine on finishing group in 1st spot.the motivation is there for them,home advantage as well as quality wise.Slovenia with 6 points in that group gained them all vs Malta,other than that has lost to any other opponent so far,Belgium,Ukraine and France.

Lithuania U21 v England U21;

England in 2nd spot 1 game short comparing to Greece currently at top and 3 points behind can't afford losing points where Greece has won away if likes to try and gain the 1st spot of group,England did score in each of its games in that group,but other than scoring 6 goals in single match vs Macedonia at home,has managed to score 4 goals in other 3 matches played so far.Lithuania is not in any spot to try and finish even 2nd,doesn't score much ,i see low scoring match where England gains the points to keep its chance to finish 1st in that group.

Parlaying both teams ML

France @ 1.22 ML + England @ 1.31 ML

1 unit @ 1.60 Betfair.
 

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U21 Euro Championship

Last bet for today ;

France u21 Slovenia u21 ;

As advise already in previous post,France has the quality,home advantage and motivation to win this match,on other hand Slovenia seems pretty poor so far and has lost to France at home 3-1,several key players has not joined and atmosphere in that team not good and filled with conflicts and confrontations.on other hand France has not won at home by now for quite some time finishing several games tied,1-0 will be enough for them today,but i ll take my chances and play the AH.

0.5 unit France -1.5 @ 1.71 The Greek.
 

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Nov 17th Summary

Belgium to win @ 1.68 2 units Betfair 2-0 win
0.5 unit France -1.5 @ 1.71 The Greek.1-0 loser.

Da(*&^*mn fro)(*&^%gs ,scored 1 only in 93rd minute.

1-2,-0.14

Ytd ;10-3 ,+ 5.32
 

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